Prediction of Stefan Kozlov vs Tyler Zink at Champaign Challenger 11-13-25

• Analyzing second serve performance in the last six months, Stefan Kozlov holds a slight edge with a 45.88% success rate over Tyler Zink's 45.18%.
• How do they fare in return games? Stefan Kozlov outperforms Tyler Zink by winning 48.95% against his opponent's second serve compared to Zink's 44.62%.
• Stefan's advantage continues with first serve returns, claiming 29.69% of points over Tyler's 25.91%.
• Under pressure, Tyler Zink excels slightly, saving 56.67% of breakpoints compared to Stefan's 50.00%.
• Stefan Kozlov's winning percentage over the past year is 66.67%, surpassing Tyler Zink's 55.22%.
• Both players have their greatest success on indoor hard surfaces, with equal career win rates of 63%.
• Despite similar surface expertise, Tyler Zink holds a higher percentage on grass, with 50% compared to Stefan's 38%.
• In the context of tournament play, Stefan Kozlov leads with a 64.00% win rate in Challenger/ITF tournaments, while Tyler Zink has won 47.37% of his matches in the same category.
• Stefan Kozlov has encountered relatively lower-ranked opponents compared to Zink, suggesting a diverse competitive experience.
• In deciding sets, Stefan Kozlov's telling 64% win rate is higher than Tyler Zink's 56% success, indicating stronger mental endurance in crucial moments.
• Currently, Stefan Kozlov shows superior breakpoint conversion, achieving 37.96% versus Tyler's 29.55%, impacting potential in-game outcomes when faced with pressure situations.
• Considering the statistics and trends, which player holds the ascendancy across these performance metrics?
• Based on the given data, Stefan Kozlov seems to have an upper hand in various aspects.

Editorial Prediction (November 12, 2025, UTC):

As we compare the recent six-month performance of Stefan Kozlov and Tyler Zink, it is evident that Kozlov showcases superior second serve retention and a better return game against opponent serves. These aspects often predict match outcomes with higher accuracy.

Kozlov's experience dealing with breakpoints indicates room for improvement, yet his overall conversion rate surpasses Zink's, offering confidence in crucial junctures of the match. Despite Zink's resilience in saving breakpoints, Stefan's performance under stress in deciding sets demonstrates an edge.

When examining match experience, Stefan Kozlov has showcased a higher winning percentage, especially on the Challenger tour, reflecting consistency. Additionally, his historical stronghold on indoor hard courts aligns with Zink's strengths but is offset by Kozlov's varied competitive exposure.

Despite Tyler Zink's commendable performance in certain areas, the gathered data indicates Stefan Kozlov as the likely victor for this upcoming match. Expect Kozlov to leverage his marginal statistical advantages and decisive set capabilities to secure a win.